The First Slice for Wednesday, March 26, 2024

This week, the U.S. stock market experienced a bit of a roller coaster, ending on a downward trend for the third consecutive day. Despite some positive movements from big players like Tesla, which saw a nearly 3% increase after announcing its Full Self-Driving technology trial, the market’s overall momentum was tepid. Investors are holding their breath for the upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) data, a critical measure of inflation that the Federal Reserve closely watches. This anticipation has created a suspenseful atmosphere, as the outcome could significantly influence the Fed’s future policy decisions.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 31.31 points, or 0.08%.
The S&P 500 lost 14.61 points, or 0.28%.
The Nasdaq Composite slid 68.77 points, or 0.42%.

The PCE data, expected to be released when U.S. markets close for Good Friday, is predicted to show a 0.4% rise in February and a 2.5% increase annually. Core inflation, which excludes the often volatile food and energy sectors, is also expected to have risen. These numbers are crucial as they could either confirm or alter the current expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policies. The market is sensitive to any hints that interest rates might not have reached their peak, with investors wary of any signs that could suggest further rate hikes.

In other economic news, orders for long-lasting U.S. manufactured goods showed a more significant increase than expected in February, hinting at a potential recovery in business spending on equipment. Meanwhile, consumer confidence levels remained relatively stable, reflecting a cautiously optimistic outlook from the public.

Among individual companies, Trump Media & Technology Group saw a significant jump in its stock price on its first trading day after a reverse merger. McCormick also outperformed expectations, leading to a notable increase in its stock value. However, not all news was positive, as United Parcel Service’s shares took a hit following its 2026 forecast announcement.

As the week progresses, trading volumes are expected to decrease, especially as the Good Friday holiday approaches. This anticipation of vital economic data and the mixed performance of various companies underscore the complex interplay of factors that drive the stock market, keeping investors on their toes……….[read more]

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